looks like inflation is gonna kill equity in long term as fed is more hawkish due to soaring yields in 10y,2y,30y this will cause fed to elevate rates or hold them and Higher yields attract foreign c
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Trader
FOUNDER
Long-dated bonds are rarely attractive imo, seems par for the course in current macro env
Novice
FOUNDER
Big boys have shifted from overall bullish to bearish. Its been a long time since they were last pesimistic. SPX is 60% short, USD shifted from more neutral to slightly bullish. I mean... how long can
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Understanding the effect of bond market sales to the correlation of the $USD show the underlying strength of the market. Geopolitical relations with foreign nations have historically strengthened the
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www.cnbc.com
10-year Treasury yield touches highest in a year, Japan's 30-year yield rises to a record
Global bond yields rose on Monday as fears of resurgent inflation grip financial markets.
Novice
FOUNDER
Absolutely, most of the time we execute despite stars not being 100% alligned. Thats how I trade atleast. Closed the position at BE anyways.
Novice
in long term like few months still bullish on bitcoin you can check my post it explains a lot
Novice
i agree most of things but about cot they have been accumulating gold for over two year so thats long term right due to rising yield is us is causing hawish tone for feds so still mix opinion
We share the same opinion🤝
Novice
do agree drawdown is too much trying to fix that
Novice
this is the strategy iam backtesting from few weeks this report generated by quantconnect
Novice
to be honest short term due to gta 6 you can own take two because hype will skyrocket the prices but long term not good stock to hold because Never consistently profitable FY2022: Net loss -$3.0B
F View full post
F View full post
Trader
FOUNDER
Haha great post thanks for sharing, it's all about positioning and survival
You said "that part was luck lmao." - but in reality you will "get lucky" a tremendous number of times just managing your e View full post
You said "that part was luck lmao." - but in reality you will "get lucky" a tremendous number of times just managing your e View full post
So I downloaded data on various futures products like indices and bonds, then applied a mean reversion model to each pair, for example ES/RTY, with a Kalman filter and a z-score. In the backtest, the
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The Q4 setup I agree with. Oct/Nov are historically the strongest months.
But worth flagging on May: the 9.87% average is skewed by a few monster years (2013, 2017, 2019). Win rate for May is actuall View full post
But worth flagging on May: the 9.87% average is skewed by a few monster years (2013, 2017, 2019). Win rate for May is actuall View full post