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The Janitor Novice FOUNDER
Novice FOUNDER
I personally think BTC is the most realistic risk asset chart of them all at the moment. The big bull run was based on the premise of huge rate cuts and big crypto projects which never satisfied the expectations. All the money is flowing into the AI race, we are already at inflationary state and disappointing peace talks. On top of everything we got a strenghtening job market which MAY allow the fed to hike interest rates so they can battle inflation a little bit. Which basically means ''hell'' to already disappointed risk assets, specifically BTC. As I've said in one of my previous thesis on BTC, it might really take the biggest blow out of them all if this sh*t fest turns into recession.
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Jun 06, 2026 · 09:52 AM · 76 views
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@convexity
Convexity Life Mod Acolyte
@convexity · Jun 06, 2026 · 12:52 PM
Acolyte
It may now be the canary in the coal mine.
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@luwyn · Jun 14, 2026 · 08:46 AM
I think we are seeing the FOMO of BTC holders as SMH and memory stocks go ballistic. Sell BTC and buy FOMO equities like SMH, XLK and memory stocks.

I think we are seeing a rotation out of BTC and into the hot sectors.

Full disclosure: I am bearish on BTC. I hold only ~$50.00 in BTC. I am open to buying BTC. I do not see the opportune time at the moment.

I do think that the selling of BTC could be oversold. I do want to see some structure so that I can trade against the structure.

Much like Gold, I am looking for BTC to find some structure base that is tradable to the upside. I do not want to go naked short. Face rippers suck and blow you out on margin.

Will we see some structure? I think BTC could find some. We have a possible opportunity here. See chart for details.
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