@convexity

Convexity Life

@convexity

Mod Acolyte
Joined May 2026
55 Following 22 Followers
@convexity
Convexity Life Acolyte @convexity · Jun 24, 09:49 AM
@convexity · Jun 24, 09:49 AM
Acolyte
Are Oracle contracts stuck? Mine haven't updated since last week. quantguild
@convexity reposted
KRD @krd · Jun 16, 05:05 PM
@krd · Jun 16, 05:05 PM
TradFi student thinking about doing some small-scale market making on prediction markets for fun/learning.

Inventory risk and hedging seem manageable, but adverse selection from informed traders feel View full post
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@convexity
Convexity Life Acolyte @convexity · Jun 12, 06:06 AM
@convexity · Jun 12, 06:06 AM
Acolyte
Mega SpaceX IPO today could be liquidity-positive.
@convexity
Convexity Life Acolyte @convexity · Jun 11, 08:50 PM
@convexity · Jun 11, 08:50 PM
Acolyte
Really depends what you can get your hands on. Access to high quality investments or a sense for what will be the next shiny thing are very important.
2
@convexity
Convexity Life Acolyte @convexity · Jun 11, 02:25 PM
@convexity · Jun 11, 02:25 PM
Acolyte
nanocap
@convexity
Convexity Life Acolyte @convexity · Jun 10, 02:47 PM
@convexity · Jun 10, 02:47 PM
Acolyte
not today
2
@convexity
Convexity Life Acolyte @convexity · Jun 09, 07:19 PM
@convexity · Jun 09, 07:19 PM
Acolyte
What trades come to mind when you see this chart?
Post image
1
@convexity
Convexity Life Acolyte @convexity · Jun 09, 07:11 PM
@convexity · Jun 09, 07:11 PM
Acolyte
Binance Stock Trading has exceeded $400 million in assets under management just one week after launch.
@convexity
Convexity Life Acolyte @convexity · Jun 08, 08:21 PM
@convexity · Jun 08, 08:21 PM
Acolyte
MicroStrategy ($MSTR) acquired 1,550 BTC, averaging $65,332 per Bitcoin.
@convexity
Convexity Life Acolyte @convexity · Jun 08, 08:16 PM
@convexity · Jun 08, 08:16 PM
Acolyte
The BTC oracle contract is too easy lately. It doesn't seem to follow the price fast enough.
@convexity reposted
@dyehuthy
𓅞 Dyehuthy 𓁟 Reader FOUNDER @dyehuthy · Jun 08, 01:59 AM
@dyehuthy · Jun 08, 01:59 AM
Reader FOUNDER
Don’t try to run an active trading strategy on Bitcoin, just run a DCA on the bottom of the 4-year cycle (BuyTheDip) 😄

🔹 MVRV percentile lows 
[Link] My Reddit post on 'When to start buying Bitcoin' View full post
Link to
www.reddit.com
Post image
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@convexity
Convexity Life Acolyte @convexity · Jun 07, 01:54 PM
@convexity · Jun 07, 01:54 PM
Acolyte
BTC could start ranging here now for a while.
@convexity
Convexity Life Acolyte @convexity · Jun 06, 03:41 PM
@convexity · Jun 06, 03:41 PM
Acolyte
S&P decided not to give mega-cap IPOs like SpaceX a fast track into the S&P 500. That means if SpaceX goes public, it will likely have to wait at least a year before joining the index, delaying billio View full post
@convexity
Convexity Life Acolyte @convexity · Jun 05, 03:43 PM
@convexity · Jun 05, 03:43 PM
Acolyte
still very close
@convexity
Convexity Life Acolyte @convexity · Jun 05, 03:16 PM
@convexity · Jun 05, 03:16 PM
Acolyte
ETH is not looking great here.
1
@convexity
Convexity Life Acolyte @convexity · Jun 04, 04:40 PM
@convexity · Jun 04, 04:40 PM
Acolyte
VOO opens the trillion-dollar club for ETFs.
@convexity
Convexity Life Acolyte @convexity · Jun 04, 12:00 PM
@convexity · Jun 04, 12:00 PM
Acolyte
The question is now <60k ?
2
@convexity
Convexity Life Acolyte @convexity · Jun 03, 08:14 PM
@convexity · Jun 03, 08:14 PM
Acolyte
VIX looks suspiciously low. The market is pricing relatively little near-term equity risk. The calm before the storm or smooth sailing?
1
@convexity
Convexity Life Acolyte @convexity · Jun 03, 01:49 PM
@convexity · Jun 03, 01:49 PM
Acolyte
71% implied probability seems way too high.