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Luwyn

@luwyn

Joined May 2026
6 Following 3 Followers
1.4K Reputation
80.0% Oracle Accuracy
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Replying to @luwyn
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Luwyn @luwyn · Jun 29, 06:56 AM
@luwyn · Jun 29, 06:56 AM
SMH >647 NO
To think that the market will not crush vol and creep up over the holiday week into the shortened trading schedule is a little off base.

I think my current decision of <=647 is -EV.
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Replying to @sfx
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Luwyn @luwyn · Jun 05, 10:46 AM
@luwyn · Jun 05, 10:46 AM
Off Topic
An interesting chart to overlay is NDX. The Nasdaq and Bitcoin were tracking very well for a very long time until Q1 2026.

The purple line is NDX. Why did the correlation stop and go negative in Q1 View full post
Post image
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Replying to @convexity
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Luwyn @luwyn · May 28, 07:24 AM
@luwyn · May 28, 07:24 AM
SPY
Once I start hearing people forget these overprices issues but say that this is the new normal for expectations:

Sell it all.
Sell it now.
Get me in cash.

Just like a bubble. I am not concerned when View full post
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Replying to @convexity
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Luwyn @luwyn · May 28, 07:22 AM
@luwyn · May 28, 07:22 AM
SPY
This will not end well, but it will be fun until we get there.

I think that we are seeing an image of the weighing machine of the market that we will experience in the future but not until we finish View full post
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Replying to @luwyn
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Luwyn @luwyn · May 27, 05:57 PM
@luwyn · May 27, 05:57 PM
SPY
The market is getting interesting. It has hit key technical points in succession. The yellow horizontal is yesterdays close. The red horizontal is yesterdays low. The white line is VWAP.

The opening View full post
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Replying to @luwyn
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Luwyn @luwyn · May 27, 04:31 PM
@luwyn · May 27, 04:31 PM
SPY
The D1 and H4 charts show a divergence on MACD and RSI. The H1 and M30 are losing momentum with increasing speed. It looks like its up to the M5 today to set the pace for the higher time frames. This View full post
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Replying to @convexity
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Luwyn @luwyn · May 27, 07:53 AM
@luwyn · May 27, 07:53 AM
Off Topic
Skyrim.
Elden Ring.

Borderlands is awesome. Destiny is great. I played a lot of text based Muds.

I have played Eve Online. I was a prolific trader in the game.
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Replying to @albert
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Luwyn @luwyn · May 26, 08:39 PM
@luwyn · May 26, 08:39 PM
Off Topic
Retail can get in and out of trades with ease and quickness. There is almost always enough liquidity for us even in relatively illiquid markets for large positions.

Our trades do not affect the price View full post
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Replying to @luwyn
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Luwyn @luwyn · May 26, 07:29 PM
@luwyn · May 26, 07:29 PM
XLI
XLI has been in a regime of riding the 22 EMA and touching the 55 EMA. There was a dip under the 55, but are we back to riding the 22 over the 55? Yellow is the 22 and red is the 55 EMA.
Post image
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Replying to @luwyn
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Luwyn @luwyn · May 26, 06:56 PM
@luwyn · May 26, 06:56 PM
BTC
This ends up being a 1-2 hour intraday trade on margin using the banks money.

Since this is SPY, if I find a strategy that works very well, I could always go to MES or ES as these all follow the cash View full post
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Replying to @luwyn
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Luwyn @luwyn · May 26, 06:43 PM
@luwyn · May 26, 06:43 PM
BTC
The ATR has two components for which I am testing:

(1) Length of periods to use
(2) Rule for generating the average
-Wilders
-Exponential
-Simple
-Weighted
-Hull
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