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Luwyn

@luwyn

Joined May 2026
6 Following 3 Followers
794 Reputation
80.0% Oracle Accuracy
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Replying to @luwyn
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Luwyn @luwyn · Jun 29, 06:56 AM
@luwyn · Jun 29, 06:56 AM
SMH >647 NO
To think that the market will not crush vol and creep up over the holiday week into the shortened trading schedule is a little off base.

I think my current decision of <=647 is -EV.
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Replying to @luwyn
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Luwyn @luwyn · Jun 22, 08:02 AM
@luwyn · Jun 22, 08:02 AM
Equities
I would need the housing market to lead the bond market in a downturn. Mass foreclosures would potentially be a cause. Perhaps even the FED blinks and lowers rates with some housing fear.

It only mak View full post
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Replying to @luwyn
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Luwyn @luwyn · Jun 22, 07:51 AM
@luwyn · Jun 22, 07:51 AM
Equities
Taking a position in debt would be a synthetic short against the dollar and the real estate market by taking a loan with the expectation that inflation will outpace the loan terms which would allow me View full post
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Replying to @luwyn
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Luwyn @luwyn · Jun 22, 07:44 AM
@luwyn · Jun 22, 07:44 AM
Equities
This reminds me to start a thread on real estate.

I have been doing a deep dive researching real estate, and it seems as if we are going to see foreclosures skyrocket. Q4 this year will be pivotal.
View full post
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Replying to @strengthbuild
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Luwyn @luwyn · Jun 15, 07:41 AM
@luwyn · Jun 15, 07:41 AM
BTC
I think you made the smart play. BTC price action is going into overhead supply that will put pressure on the price. People want to get into the hot assets and BTC is not a hot asset now.
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Replying to @quantguild
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Luwyn @luwyn · Jun 15, 07:23 AM
@luwyn · Jun 15, 07:23 AM
SMH
People have claimed that SMH 800, 900, 1250 is impossible.

My retort is that the markets can stay irrational longer than any of us can stay solvent.

SMH does not care about your feelings, my feelin View full post
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Replying to @aadab
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Luwyn @luwyn · Jun 15, 07:12 AM
@luwyn · Jun 15, 07:12 AM
SMH
I have made much trading SMH, so if I lose some I do not care. I am not losing principle.

I prefer to not short. The markets have an upward positive bias that is easier to trade and profit from as ap View full post
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Replying to @luwyn
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Luwyn @luwyn · Jun 15, 06:44 AM
@luwyn · Jun 15, 06:44 AM
QQQ
LOL My trade from June 5th is still live and now almost shows profit on June 15th in the aftermarket.

ROFL

Seriously, I am turning into a perma-bull.

Ride that bull baby!
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Replying to @luwyn
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Luwyn @luwyn · Jun 15, 06:04 AM
@luwyn · Jun 15, 06:04 AM
Off Topic
After rereading my post, I realized that there is an actual use case for removing demarcation from edited posts.

It will force some users to strictly refrain from editing some posts. However, it most View full post
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Replying to @luwyn
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Luwyn @luwyn · Jun 15, 05:51 AM
@luwyn · Jun 15, 05:51 AM
Equities
I am putting in extended hours buy limit orders for 745.55 on SPY. I will do the same ratio buy with QQQ.

Just because I am going to sleep does not mean that I have to stop playing the market.
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Replying to @luwyn
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Luwyn @luwyn · Jun 15, 05:47 AM
@luwyn · Jun 15, 05:47 AM
Equities
I think I might put in a limit order to sell half my position at SPY 753.9 and half my position of QQQ at 740.75 if I fall asleep.

I would not be surprised if the markets melt up higher or crater do View full post
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