Back

THIS IS UPCOMING MONTHLY SEASONALITY RETURNS WHICH ARE POSITIVE FOR BTC AS OF MAY WE ARE AT 5.44% AVERAGE IS 9.87%
Post image
May 16, 2026 · 01:43 AM · 23 views
1 Reposts
4 Likes
2 Replies
(Edited)
@quantguild
Roman Paolucci Mod Trader FOUNDER
@quantguild · May 16, 2026 · 01:58 AM
Trader FOUNDER
Agree with the analysis and so here for it
Reply
@pretoninho
Pretoninus II Mod Trader FOUNDER
@pretoninho Solaris Traders · May 16, 2026 · 06:08 AM
Trader FOUNDER
The Q4 setup I agree with. Oct/Nov are historically the strongest months.

But worth flagging on May: the 9.87% average is skewed by a few monster years (2013, 2017, 2019). Win rate for May is actually closer to 50/50. It's one of the more deceptive seasonal stats on BTC.

September is the real landmine. Consistently negative across almost every cycle.

Survive the summer, position for Q4.
Reply