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zone93932 Novice FOUNDER
@montacarlos939
Novice FOUNDER
BTC
THIS IS UPCOMING MONTHLY SEASONALITY RETURNS WHICH ARE POSITIVE FOR BTC AS OF MAY WE ARE AT 5.44% AVERAGE IS 9.87%
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May 16, 2026 · 01:43 AM · 85 views
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(Edited)
@quantguild
Roman Paolucci Mod FOUNDER
@quantguild · May 16, 2026 · 01:58 AM
FOUNDER
BTC
Agree with the analysis and so here for it
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@pretoninho
Pretoninus II Mod FOUNDER
@pretoninho · May 16, 2026 · 06:08 AM
FOUNDER
BTC
The Q4 setup I agree with. Oct/Nov are historically the strongest months.

But worth flagging on May: the 9.87% average is skewed by a few monster years (2013, 2017, 2019). Win rate for May is actually closer to 50/50. It's one of the more deceptive seasonal stats on BTC.

September is the real landmine. Consistently negative across almost every cycle.

Survive the summer, position for Q4.
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